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Trump Holds Up Doctored Hurricane Dorian Forecast To Prove His False ‘Alabama’ Warning Correct


Trump Holds Up Doctored Hurricane Dorian Forecast To Prove His False ‘Alabama’ Warning Correct

President Trump on Wednesday turned a White House briefing on Hurricane Dorian into his latest attempt to defend warning Alabama residents on Sunday that the hurricane posed a threat to the state, a warning that was debunked minutes later by the National Weather Service (NWS).

“In addition to Florida – South Carolina, North Carolina, Georgia, and Alabama, will most likely be hit (much) harder than anticipated,” Trump falsely claimed on Sunday.

The NWS responded 20 minutes later with a statement fact-checking Trump’s tweet: “Alabama will NOT see any impacts from Dorian. We repeat, no impacts from Hurricane Dorian will be felt across Alabama.”

Despite the federal agency fact-checking his “fake news,” Trump defended his lie on Monday.

During Wednesday’s White House briefing, Trump held up a nearly week-old National Hurricane Center (NHC) forecast track for Dorian showing the storm approaching the Florida or Georgia coastline on Sunday (9/1) or Monday (9/2).

The 5-day hurricane forecast track Trump held up for reporters appears to have a hand-drawn black line that extended the original forecast cone into southern portions of Alabama and Georgia, an apparent attempt to prove Trump’s false tweet correct.

Below is the original Hurricane Dorian forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center on Thursday, August 29, issued nearly four days before Trump’s tweet warning Alabama residents. You can see that the original forecast does not have a black line extending into Alabama.

The doctored forecast also appears to be in violation of the National Weather Service’s rules for sharing forecasts: “The Key Messages graphics, like all information on National Weather Service web pages are in the public domain and may be used or shared for any lawful purpose so long as you do not: 1) claim it is your own (e.g., by claiming copyright for NWS information), 2) use it in a manner that implies an endorsement or affilliation with NOAA/NWS, or 3) modify its content and then present it as official government material. You also cannot present information of your own in a way that makes it appear to be official government information.”

“We got lucky in Florida, very, very lucky indeed, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office on Wednesday as he held up Thursday’s NHC forecast. “We had actually our original chart was that it was going to be hitting Florida directly. It was going to be hitting directly and it would have affected a lot of other states.”

He continued: “But that was the original chart and you see it was going to hit not only Florida but Georgia. It could of – it was going toward the Gulf. That was what we, what was originally projected and it took a right turn and ultimately, and hopefully, we are going to be lucky.”

A few minutes later, Trump held up yet another 4-day-old forecast track for Dorian, telling reporters: “And that’s pretty amazing. This is the original path that we thought and everybody thought that this was about a 95% probability and it turned out to be not that path. It turned out to be a path going up the coast.”

Watch the White House breifing, below:

Dr. Kim Wood notes: “Alabama was *never* within the National Hurricane Center's 5-day forecast cone for Dorian. The closest the cone got was the Alabama-Georgia border.”


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