A former Bush adviser believes President Donald Trump will resign from the presidency in exchange for “the relevant authorities not pursuing criminal charges against him, his children or the Trump Organization.”
Ian J. Steinberg, who served as an adviser to former President George W. Bush and was also a former Environmental Protection Agency regional administrator, wrote in an opinion piece published this week that he didn’t believe Trump would be removed from office through impeachment, instead he predicted Trump would resign in 2019 in exchange for immunity.
“Trump will not be removed from office by the constitutional impeachment and removal process,” Steinberg wrote in The Star-Ledger. “Instead, the self-professed supreme dealmaker will use his presidency as a bargaining chip with federal and state authorities in 2019, agreeing to leave office in exchange for the relevant authorities not pursuing criminal charges against him, his children or the Trump Organization.”
Steinberg noted in the piece that should the House of Representatives impeach the president, twenty Republican senators would have to break with the president to vote to impeach him from office. Steinberg also listed the mounting legal challenges facing Trump and his family that could lead him to leave the White House before his first term is over, including the investigation from special counsel Robert Mueller, the probe from the Southern District of New York as well as inquiries from the attorney general of New York and the Manhattan District Attorney’s Office.
Steinberg wrote for The Star-Ledger:
“Aside from all the legal nightmares facing Trump and his presidency, it appears virtually impossible for Trump to be reelected in 2020. The economy appears headed for a severe recession, as evidenced by the recent plunge in the stock market, which appears on pace for its worst December since the Great Depression.
There are only two years left in Trump’s presidential term. With his approval ratings in an abysmal state, and the forthcoming recession making it near impossible for Trump to stage a political recovery, it appears most likely that he will use the continuation of his presidency as a bargaining chip.”
Former Republican Representative John LeBoutillier also predicted this weekend that Trump would “not survive 2019.” LeBoutillier wrote in The Hill:
“1. Donald J. Trump’s presidency will not survive 2019; 2. The downward trajectory of every aspect of his tenure indicates we are headed for a spectacular political crash-and-burn—and fairly soon; 3. His increasingly erratic and angry behavior, his self-imposed isolation, his inability and refusal to listen to smart advisers that he hired, all are leading him to a precipice.”