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Dan Rather Predicts Republican Defect If Trump Approval Falls Below 30%

DEMOCRACY

Dan Rather Predicts Republican Defect If Trump Approval Falls Below 30%




Former CBS News anchor Dan Rather is predicting that some Republicans could defect from President Trump if his poll numbers slip below 30 percent.

“They’re afraid that he may have indeed committed some impeachable offense, and also they’re hearing from home that a lot of their constituents have increasing concerns about the Trump presidency,” Rather told CNN’s Don Lemon.

“As long as he’s able to hold that 35, 38 poll rating – you may not see that, but I repeat for emphasis, once it gets down below 30 percent, you’ll see some Republicans going the other way,” said the longtime host.

Trump’s approval rating currently sits at 39 percent, according to a Real Clear Politics average of presidential job approval ratings. Among Republicans, his approval rating is much higher.

However, if you look at the trend in Quinnipiac polling since January, strong approval of the president’s job performance has faded in a number of constituencies — including Republicans and whites without college degrees.

The trend among Republicans is a decline of about 7 points. Among whites without a college degree, about 10.




The Washington Post added:

“It’s rare that opinions of people flip 180 degrees in politics. For example, when people are changing their minds about who they’ll vote for, there’s often a way-station at “undecided” before their candidate choice flips. Similarly, people are less likely to go from strong approval of what Trump’s doing to outright rejection of it; instead, their approval would likely fade a bit first.

By the same token, if people are turning against Trump, that would suggest that those who viewed his job performance skeptically in the first place might come to strong disapproval of him.

That trend appears, too.

Among white women in particular, views of Trump in Quinnipiac polling are hardening.

At the moment, Trump needs all of the support he can get from his base, given the increasing questions about his handling of the investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election. If Republicans on Capitol Hill think his core base of support is wavering, that might make Trump’s next few months even less comfortable than they might otherwise have been.”

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